Blankenau Publications
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“Government Education Expenditures in Early and Late Childhood,” with Casey Abington, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, forthcoming.
- “Industry Differences in the Elasticity of Substitution and the Rate of Biased Technological Change Between Skilled and Unskilled Labor,” with Steve Cassou, Applied Economics, Vol. 43, pp. 3129-3142.
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“Industrial Dynamics and the Neoclassical Growth Model,” with Steve Cassou, Economic Inquiry, October 2009, Vol. 47, pp. 815-837.
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“Public Spending on Education and Incentives to Student Achievement,” with Gabriele Camera, Economica, July 2009, Vol. 76, pp. 505–527.
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“Public education expenditures, taxation and growth: Linking data to theory,” with Nicole Simpson and Marc Tomljanovich, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings. May 2007, Vol. 97, pp. 393-397.
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“Allocating government education expenditures across K-12 and college education,” with Steve Cassou and Beth Ingram, Economic Theory. April 2007, Vol. 31, pp. 85-112.
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“How different is the cyclical behavior of home production across countries?,” with Ayhan Kose, Macroeconomic Dynamics. February 2007, Vol. 30, pp. 807-842.
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“Labor market trends with balanced growth,” with Steve Cassou, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. May 2006, Vol. 30, pp. 807-842.
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“A simple economic theory of skill accumulation and schooling decisions,” with Gabriele Camera, Review of Economic Dynamics. Vol. 9, pp. 93-115.
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“Public schooling, college subsidies and growth,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. March 2005, Vol 29, pp. 487-507.
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“Public education expenditures and growth,” with Nicole Simpson, Journal of Development Economics. April 2004, Vol. 73, pp. 583-605.
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“School finance litigation, tax and expenditure limitations, and education spending: an empirical analysis,” with Mark Skidmore, Contemporary Economic Policy. January 2003, Vol 22, pp 127-143.
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“The interrelatedness of tax and expenditure limitations and education finance reform,” with Mark Skidmore, Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy. December 2002, Vol. 32, pp. 49-65.
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“The welfare implications of factor taxation with rising wage inequality,” with Beth Ingram, Macroeconomic Dynamics. June 2002, Vol. 6, No. 3.
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“Can real world interest rates explain business cycles in small open economies?” with Ayhan Kose and Kei-Mu Yi, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. June 2001, Vol. 25, pp. 867-889.
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“A welfare analysis of policy responses to the skilled wage premium,” Review of Economic Dynamics, October 1999, Vol.2, pp. 820-849.
“Government Education Expenditures in Early and Late Childhood,” with Casey Abington
Abstract: Human capital investment in early childhood can lead to large and persistent gains. Beyond this window of opportunity, human capital accumulation is more costly. Despite compelling evidence in support of this notion, government education spending is allocated disproportionately toward late childhood and young adulthood. We consider the consequences of a reallocation using an overlapping generations model with private and public spending on early and late childhood education. Taking as given the higher returns to early childhood investment, we find that the current allocation may nonetheless be appropriate. When we consider a homogeneous population, this can hold for moderate levels of government spending. With heterogeneity, this can hold for middle income workers. Lower income workers, by contrast, may benefit from a reallocation.
Industry estimates of the elasticity of substitution and the rate of biased technological
change between skilled and unskilled labor. With Steve Cassou
Abstract: We estimate the elasticity of substitution between skilled and unskilled labour and
the pace of skill-biased technological change at the industry level. The data is compiled
from the March extract of the Current Population Survey (CPS) from 1968 to 2006. Industry
information provided by the survey is used to group workers into 13 industry categories
and education levels are used to dichotomize workers as skilled or unskilled. We construct
measures of the ratio of skilled to unskilled employment and the ratio of skilled
to unskilled wages in each industry. Using a relationship implied by profit maximizing
behaviour on the part of representative firms, this data generates estimates of structural
parameters. We find considerable differences across industries in the elasticity of
substitution between skilled and unskilled labour. Furthermore, while most industries
have experienced skill-biased technological change, the pace of this change has varied
widely across industries.
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Industrial dynamics and the neoclassical growth model. With Steve Cassou
Abstract: This paper studies industry-level dynamics and demonstrates the ability of a modified
neoclassical growth model to capture a range of empirical facts. The paper begins
by using U.S. data to document skilled and unskilled labor trends within industry
sector classifications as well as industry sector output trends. Using Current Population Survey
data from 1968 to 2004, it is shown that the ratio of skilled workers to unskilled
workers employed has risen in all industries. The absolute increase in this ratio
was larger in the more skilled industries, while the growth rate was larger in the
less skilled industries. Furthermore, using national income account data, it is shown
that relatively high-skilled industries have accounted for an increasing share of
output over time. A version of the neoclassical growth model is then constructed to
match these observations. One important feature of this model is a structure that
introduces new goods into the economy at each moment of time. The model is able to
capture a rich set of labor market movements between sectors and between skill levels
as well as changes in the relative output shares across industries, yet preserves
many nice features of the neoclassical growth model.
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Public spending on education and the incentives for student achievement. With Gabriele
Camera
Abstract: We build a model where homogeneous workers can accumulate human capital by investing
in education. Schools combine public resources and individual effort to generate productive
skills. If skills are imperfectly compensated, then in equilibrium students may under-invest
in effort. We examine the effect on human capital accumulation of three basic education
finance policies. Increased tuition subsidies may not be beneficial because they increase
enrolment but they may lower the incentives for student achievement, hence the skill
level. Policies directed at enhancing the productivity of education or making degrees
more informative are more successful at improving educational outcomes.
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Public education expenditures, taxation, and growth: Linking data to theory. With Nicole Simpson and Marc Tomljanovich
Abstract: Empirical studies have been unable to provide a consistent answer regarding the long-run
relationship between government education expenditures and per-capita output growth.
In this paper, we develop a simple endogenous growth model whereby growth is a function
of both government education expenditures and taxation. Using pooled data from 1960
to 2000 for 83 countries, we test our growth equation and find that imposing the government
budget constraint is imperative when estimating the relationship between expenditures
and growth. Furthermore, we find a robust positive relationship between education
expenditures and growth for rich countries when the method of finance is considered
but no significant relationship for poor and middle-income countries.
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Allocating government education expenditures across K-12 and college education. With Steve Cassou and Beth Ingram
Abstract: As of the late 1990s, public support for education in the U.S. comprised approximately
7.1% of GDP; about 60% of that support was directed at K-12 education and the remainder
at postsecondary (college) education. We study the output and welfare implications
of public spending on both levels of education. The model we develop features agents
who are heterogeneous with respect to ability and choose whether to pursue higher
education. We show that higher-ability agents support greater expenditures at both
levels. When public education expenditures are low, all agents prefer that the budget
be dedicated solely to K-12 education and when expenditures are large enough, all
prefer that some portion of the budget be allocated to college education. Spending
increments beyond this threshold should be allocated disproportionately to college
education. For some agents, utility as a function of subsidies is two-peaked so that
large increases in tuition subsidies may be supported while smaller increases would
not.
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How different is the cyclical behavior of home production across countries? With Ayhan Kose
Abstract: Despite the important role played by home (household) production in aggregate economic
activity, our knowledge of the cyclical features of this sector is quite limited.
This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four
industrialized countries (Canada, the United States, Germany, and Japan). We employ
a dynamic small open economy business cycle model that incorporates a household production
sector. We use the model to generate data on home output, hours worked in the home
sector, and hours spent in leisure. We find that in each country, home output is more
volatile than market output while home sector hours are about as volatile as those
in the market sector. In each country, leisure is the least volatile series. Leisure
and home hours are countercyclical in all countries and home output is not highly
correlated with market output. Home sector variables are generally less persistent
than market variables and cross-country correlations related to home production tend
to be lower than those of market production. These findings demonstrate that despite
some well-known structural differences in labor markets, the cyclical features of
home sector variables are similar across the countries we consider.
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School finance litigation, tax and expenditure limitations, and education spending: an empirical analysis. With Mark Skidmore
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The interrelatedness of tax and expenditure limitations and education finance reform. With Mark Skidmore
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The welfare implications of factor taxation with rising wage inequality. With Beth Ingram
Abstract: In recent decades, the structure of wages in the U.S. Economy has shifted to favor
workers with college degrees over those without college degrees. Concurrently, there
has been an increase in the share of the workforce that is college educated. We build
an overlapping generations model in which skill-biased technological change drives
both rising wage inequality and a rising percentage of skilled (educated) workers
in the labor force. We explore the implications for agent welfare and for the distribution
of income of different factor taxation choices. We find that higher tax rates on capital
and lower tax rates on unskilled labor can yield steady-state welfare gains across
a heterogeneous population, and that these gains increase as the economy experiences
technological change that favors skilled labor. Moreover, these shifts in taxation
can lower net wage inequality. Steady-state welfare gains, however, come at the expense
of agents alive upon implementation.
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Can real world interest rates explain business cycles in small open economies? With Ayhan Kose and Kei-Mu Yi
Abstract: While the world real interest rate is potentially an important mechanism for transmitting
international shocks to small open economies, much of the recent quantitative research
that studies this mechanism concludes that it has little effect on output, investment,
and net exports. We re-examine the importance of world real interest rate shocks using
an approach that reverses the standard real business cycle methodology. We begin with
a small open economy business cycle model. But, rather than specifying the stochastic
processes for the shocks and then solving and simulating the model to evaluate how
well these shocks explain business cycles, we use the model to back out the shocks
that are consistent with the model’s observable endogenous variables. Then we use
variance decompositions to examine the importance of each shock. We apply this methodology
to Canada and find that world real interest rate shocks can play and important role
in explaining the cyclical variation in a small open economy. In particular, they
can explain up to one-third of the fluctuations in output and more than half of the
fluctuations in net exports and net foreign assets.
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A welfare analysis of policy responses to the skilled wage premium.
Abstract: I build a model with heterogeneous agents which is consistent both with rising wage
inequality across education levels and with an increasing relative number of college
graduates. I use the model to investigate the welfare implications of policies which
influence the structure of net wages. Each policy affects agents directly through
taxes and subsides and indirectly as wages respond to changes in the relative supply
of skilled and unskilled workers. I find that as wage inequality grows due to skill-biased
technological change, policies which promote a more egalitarian wage structure can
become increasingly acceptable to all agents and that for nearly all agents, education
subsidies may be preferred to direct transfers as a means of decreasing wage inequality.
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